Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.000478 0.000531 0.000587 0.000653 0.000728 0.000810 0.000908
2026-02-08 0.000387 0.000459 0.000542 0.000648 0.000779 0.000936 0.001142
2026-02-15 0.000332 0.000413 0.000512 0.000646 0.000822 0.001049 0.001370
2026-02-22 0.000295 0.000380 0.000490 0.000645 0.000861 0.001157 0.001601
2026-03-01 0.000269 0.000358 0.000478 0.000653 0.000909 0.001277 0.001864
2026-03-08 0.000247 0.000338 0.000464 0.000655 0.000947 0.001387 0.002127
2026-03-15 0.000232 0.000326 0.000460 0.000670 0.001004 0.001529 0.002460
2026-03-22 0.000213 0.000305 0.000440 0.000659 0.001017 0.001603 0.002690
2026-03-29 0.000200 0.000292 0.000430 0.000660 0.001050 0.001713 0.002999
2026-04-05 0.000187 0.000278 0.000418 0.000657 0.001075 0.001811 0.003302
2026-04-12 0.000177 0.000268 0.000411 0.000661 0.001111 0.001932 0.003669
2026-04-19 0.000167 0.000257 0.000401 0.000658 0.001135 0.002033 0.004012
2026-04-26 0.000159 0.000249 0.000396 0.000666 0.001180 0.002186 0.004505
2026-05-03 0.000150 0.000238 0.000385 0.000661 0.001202 0.002294 0.004924
2026-05-10 0.000142 0.000228 0.000376 0.000658 0.001227 0.002415 0.005399
2026-05-17 0.000135 0.000220 0.000368 0.000658 0.001257 0.002550 0.005938
2026-05-24 0.000130 0.000215 0.000365 0.000666 0.001304 0.002729 0.006635
2026-05-31 0.000124 0.000209 0.000359 0.000668 0.001341 0.002891 0.007325
2026-06-07 0.000121 0.000206 0.000360 0.000684 0.001407 0.003132 0.008308
2026-06-14 0.000114 0.000197 0.000349 0.000672 0.001410 0.003219 0.008851
2026-06-21 0.000110 0.000191 0.000343 0.000673 0.001444 0.003391 0.009708
2026-06-28 0.000105 0.000185 0.000337 0.000670 0.001468 0.003540 0.010538
2026-07-05 0.000102 0.000181 0.000333 0.000674 0.001508 0.003740 0.011605